This
Up until 2012 it was relatively easy to predict who wins. A good economy, the incumbent party wins, and bad economy and they lose. A simplified and watered down argument I'm making here and now, but essentially true.
If the economy continues to grow and does so at increasing rates, if manufacturing jobs continue to increase, if companies continue to increase their investment in this country as opposed to abroad, if real wages and disposable income continue to increase, if business and consumer confidence remains high, he's winning.
I don't like how he acts or reacts on social platforms, I wish he wouldn't give our criminal corrupt colluding liberal media ammunition to use against him in a sensationalizing and hyperbolic fashion, but he just can't seem to avoid shooting himself in the foot.
On the policy front, he's a dream come true. He's implementing and / or advocating all the policies I've been talking about for 30 years.
Lower taxes to spur growth
Fewer regulations to encourage investment and spur growth
Pro business environment to encourage risk taking and spur growth
Our strength is all based on economic growth and strong businesses, not an ever increasing federal bureaucracy
Other stuff I love
Securing the borders and then talking about real immigration reform, a path to citizenship or "normalization" of some sort. But nothing can or should be done until the borders are secure. (his position on immigration is far different than what the lying media sells us)
Banning late term abortions, when the baby can survive outside the womb I believe it has constitutional rights
I think he won't stop the legalization a marijuana process (although he may force enforcement of existing federal laws if Congress doesn't do anything)
I think he won't sign any bill that prohibits states from having sports gambling
The only thing I strongly advocate which I don't think he's talked about is the gradual privatization of social security.